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<!--
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THE WISDOM AND/OR MADNESS OF CROWDS
by Nicky Case | apr 2018
MY "WHY" FOR MAKING THIS:
+ to build a foundation for further curiosity about networks, group dynamics
+ to practice teaching with problem-solving, a pre-req for skills
+ to instill transcendent sense of "fundamentally people", of Humanity's Brain <3
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SLIDES:
Keep all words on index.html. This allows people to translate it to SAME repo!
/de.html, etc etc
Same format as EvoTrust. But also footnotes.
Cursor is allowed to flow EVERYWHERE though...
-->
<!doctype>
<html>
<head>
<title>The Wisdom and/or Madness of Crowds</title>
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<link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="css/index.css">
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</head>
<body>
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<div id="container">
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<!-- Simulation(s) in background -->
<div id="simulations_container">
<div id="simulations"></div>
</div>
<!-- Slideshow: words & buttons -->
<div id="slideshow_container">
<div id="slideshow"></div>
</div>
<!-- Scratch Transition -->
<div id="scratch"></div>
<!-- Modal -->
<div id="modal"></div>
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</div>
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<!-- Navigation: Audio, Contents, Share, Translations -->
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<div id="navigation_container">
<div id="audio"></div>
<div id="navigation">
<!-- The chapters -->
<div chapter="Introduction">
<span>0</span>
<span>0. Introduction</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Networks">
<span>1</span>
<span>1. Networks</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Simple">
<span>2</span>
<span>2. Simple Contagion</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Complex">
<span>3</span>
<span>3. Complex Contagion</span>
</div>
<div chapter="BB">
<span>4</span>
<span>4. Bonding &amp; Bridging</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Sandbox">
<span>5</span>
<span>5. Sandbox</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Conclusion">
<span>6</span>
<span>6. In Conclusion...</span>
</div>
<div chapter="Credits">
<span>7</span>
<span>7. Credits</span>
</div>
<!-- A divider -->
<span class="nav_divider"></span>
<!-- Bonus Notes & References -->
<div modal="bonus">
<span>?</span>
<span>Bonus Boxes! (Notes)</span>
</div>
<div modal="references">
<span style="margin-top:5px">*</span>
<span>References</span>
</div>
<!-- The hover bubble -->
<span id="nav_bubble">AHHHHHH</span>
</div>
<div id="social"></div>
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</div>
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<canvas id="pencil"></canvas>
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</body>
</html>
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<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - -->
<!-- THE SLIDESHOW'S WORDS -->
<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - -->
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<!-- 0. Introduction -->
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<words id="_0_title">
the
<br>
WISDOM and/or MADNESS
<br>
of CROWDS
</words>
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<words id="_0_subtitle">
playing time: 30 min • by nicky case, april 2018
</words>
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<words id="_0_loading">
loading...
</words>
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<words id="_0_play">
let's play! &rarr;
</words>
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<words id="_0_intro">
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<div class="circle"><span>
<br><br><br>
Isaac Newton was pretty sure he was one smart cookie.
I mean, after inventing calculus, classical mechanics, and a theory of gravity,
he should be smart enough to do some financial investing, right?
Anyway,
long story short, he lost $4,600,000 (in today's dollars)
in the nationwide speculation frenzy known as the South Sea Bubble of 1720.
<br><br>
As Mr. Newton later said:
<i>“I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.”</i>
<next>yeah sucks for him &rarr;</next>
</span></div>
</words>
<words id="_0_intro_2">
<div class="circle"><span>
<br>
Of course, that's not the only time markets, institutions, or entire democracies went crazy:
the <i>madness</i> of crowds.
And yet, just when you lose hope in humanity,
you see citizens rescuing each other in hurricanes,
communities banding together after tragedy,
movements of ordinary people fighting for a better world:
the <i>wisdom</i> of crowds!
<br><br>
<b>But <i>why</i> do some crowds become wise or mad?</b>
Can we calculate the madness, or wisdom, of people?
According to a new field of science,
the answer is not to look at a crowd's <i>individuals</i>,
but at...
<next>...its <i>network</i> &rarr;</next>
</span></div>
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</words>
<!-- 1. Networks -->
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<words id="_1_tutorial_start">
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Let's draw a network!
Each connection represents a friendship between two people:
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</words>
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<words id="_1_tutorial_connect">
draw to connect
</words>
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<words id="_1_tutorial_disconnect">
scratch to&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;disconnect
</words>
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<words id="_1_tutorial_end">
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feel free to play around! when you're done,
<next wiggle>let's continue &rarr;</next>
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</words>
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<words id="_1_threshold">
blah blah blah blah
blah blah blah blah
blah blah blah blah
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<span bonus="herp"></span>
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blah blah blah blah
blah blah blah blah
thresholds NOT COUNTING THEMSELVES
</words>
<words id="_1_threshold_count1">
# of drinker friends / # of total friends
</words>
<words id="_1_threshold_count2">
% of friends are drinkers
</words>
<words id="_1_threshold_count3">
(black line shows the 50% "majority" mark)
</words>
<words id="_1_threshold_end">
<next>and next...</next>
</words>
<words id="_1_pre_puzzle">
blah blah drinking
<next>blah blah next</next>
</words>
<words id="_1_puzzle">
blah blah puzzle
</words>
<words id="_1_puzzle_metric">
HOW MANY PEEPS FOOLED:
</words>
<words id="_1_puzzle_end">
blah blah puzzle
<next wiggle>a winrar is you</next>
</words>
<words id="_1_post_puzzle">
blah blah post-puzzle
<next>simple contagion...</next>
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</words>
<!-- 2. Simple Contagions -->
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<words id="_2_simple">
blah blah simple
</words>
<words id="_2_simple_end">
<next wiggle>next</next>
</words>
<words id="_2_cascade">
blah blah simple cascade
</words>
<words id="_2_cascade_end">
<next wiggle>onwards...</next>
</words>
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<!-- 3. Complex Contagions -->
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<words id="_3_complex">
blah blah complex vs simple
</words>
<words id="_3_complex_end">
herp derp blah blah
<next wiggle>next</next>
</words>
<words id="_3_cascade">
blah blah complex cascade
</words>
<words id="_3_cascade_end">
<next wiggle>fweeee</next>
</words>
<words id="_3_prevent">
blah blah complex prevention
</words>
<words id="_3_prevent_end">
herp derp blah blah
<next wiggle>next</next>
</words>
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<!-- 4. Bonding & Bridging -->
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<!-- 5. Sandbox -->
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<!-- 6. Conclusion -->
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<!-- recap and CONCRETE LIFE TAKE-AWAYS. mirror intro UI -->
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<!-- 7. Credits -->
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<words id="_7_credits">
FWEEEEEE
</words>
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<!-- x. misc -->
<words id="WIN">
WIN
</words>
<words id="sim_start">
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&gt; start
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</words>
<words id="sim_next">
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&gt;&gt; next
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</words>
<words id="sim_reset">
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&olarr; reset
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</words>
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<words id="sandbox_contagion">
Contagion:
</words>
<words id="sandbox_contagion_simple">
simple
</words>
<words id="sandbox_contagion_complex">
complex
</words>
<words id="sandbox_color_chooser">
The Contagion's Color:
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_chooser">
Select a tool...
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_pencil">
Draw Connections
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_add">
Add Peep
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_add_infected">
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Add "Infected"
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</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_move">
Move Peep
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_delete">
Delete Peep
</words>
<words id="sandbox_tool_clear">
<b>CLEAR IT ALL</b>
</words>
<words id="sandbox_shortcuts_label">
(...or, use keyboard shortcuts!)
</words>
<words id="sandbox_shortcuts">
[1]: Add Peep
<br>
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[2]: Add "Infected" Peep
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<br>
[Space]: Move Peep
<br>
[Backspace]: Delete Peep
</words>
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<!-- - - - - - - - - - - - - -->
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<!-- BONUS BOXES (footnotes) -->
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<bonus id="herp">
<title>HERP DERP</title>
<description>
Herp derp HERP derp derp? Herp derp DERP herp herp derp!
</description>
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</bonus>
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<!-- - - - - - - -->
<!-- REFERENCES -->
<!-- - - - - - - -->
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<references>
</references>
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<!-- - - - - -->
<!-- SCRIPTS -->
<!-- - - - - -->
<script src="js/lib/helpers.js"></script>
<script src="js/lib/minpubsub.src.js"></script>
<script src="js/lib/Key.js"></script>
<script src="js/lib/Mouse.js"></script>
<script src="js/lib/Sprite.js"></script>
<script src="js/slideshow/Slideshow.js"></script>
<script src="js/slideshow/Pencil.js"></script>
<script src="js/slideshow/Boxes.js"></script>
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<script src="js/slideshow/Scratch.js"></script>
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<script src="js/slideshow/Navigation.js"></script>
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<script src="js/slideshow/SimUI.js"></script>
<script src="js/slideshow/SandboxUI.js"></script>
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<script src="js/sim/Peep.js"></script>
<script src="js/sim/Connection.js"></script>
<script src="js/sim/ConnectorCutter.js"></script>
<!--script src="js/sim/_Game.js"></script-->
<script src="js/sim/Simulations.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/0_Introduction.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/1_Networks.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/2_Simple_Contagion.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/3_Complex_Contagion.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/4_Bonding_And_Bridging.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/5_Sandbox.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/6_Conclusion.js"></script>
<script src="js/chapters/7_Credits.js"></script>
<script src="js/main.js"></script>